Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.071710 0.079568 0.088200 0.098434 0.110299 0.123696 0.140075
2024-10-13 0.058453 0.068713 0.080899 0.096625 0.116662 0.141723 0.176074
2024-10-20 0.050800 0.062459 0.077191 0.097576 0.125731 0.164323 0.223251
2024-10-27 0.044722 0.056934 0.073131 0.096848 0.131897 0.183927 0.271616
2024-11-03 0.040777 0.053486 0.071069 0.098148 0.140726 0.208910 0.335680
2024-11-10 0.037620 0.050615 0.069261 0.099277 0.149196 0.234998 0.410570
2024-11-17 0.034658 0.047621 0.066793 0.098843 0.154813 0.257325 0.486782
2024-11-24 0.032546 0.045612 0.065502 0.099984 0.163175 0.286612 0.590425
2024-12-01 0.030746 0.043867 0.064373 0.101141 0.171663 0.318336 0.715892
2024-12-08 0.029125 0.042228 0.063200 0.101989 0.179638 0.351193 0.863617
2024-12-15 0.027526 0.040473 0.061629 0.101852 0.185537 0.381068 1.022576
2024-12-22 0.025929 0.038581 0.059629 0.100612 0.188829 0.405623 1.182482
2024-12-29 0.024987 0.037722 0.059375 0.102799 0.200358 0.456248 1.489293
2025-01-05 0.023532 0.035889 0.057226 0.100930 0.202220 0.481117 1.716993
2025-01-12 0.022615 0.034910 0.056530 0.101956 0.211315 0.531279 2.133484
2025-01-19 0.021547 0.033587 0.055080 0.101193 0.215787 0.568979 2.543793
2025-01-26 0.020835 0.032842 0.054646 0.102574 0.226213 0.631966 3.243179
2025-02-02 0.020156 0.032107 0.054162 0.103772 0.236469 0.700015 4.162910
2025-02-09 0.019348 0.031081 0.053020 0.103313 0.241943 0.752703 5.121333
2025-02-16 0.018775 0.030450 0.052609 0.104523 0.252720 0.834577 6.750269
2025-02-23 0.018242 0.029858 0.052226 0.105750 0.263928 0.926474 9.073666
2025-03-02 0.017712 0.029240 0.051736 0.106650 0.274392 1.023065 12.303647
2025-03-09 0.017123 0.028473 0.050876 0.106504 0.281390 1.107505 16.275406